Did Jack Welch ever square the people-profit circle?

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The perennial debate about whether to put profit before people, or vice versa, has been reinvigorated in the aftermath of the financial collapse of 2008 amidst growing anxiety as to how Western capitalism might evolve in the light of emerging alternatives.  Yet at the very heart of this debate is the very obvious point that profit and people are always in danger of being diametrically opposed.  Profit often appears to come at the expense of people when jobs are cut.  Shareholders may think their investments are not best served by putting people first.

Equally obvious to most rational employees is that they are multiple-stakeholders themselves by virtue of simultaneously being citizens and customers as well; dependent on each other for wealth and welfare.  This is not that complicated a formula is it?  So why do so many CEOs seem to struggle to convince both their employees and their shareholders that this formula can work in everyone’s interest?  Maybe it’s because they have not convinced themselves yet: they have not managed to square this particular circle in their own minds, never mind those of their shareholders.

Jack Welch, who became infamous for being ‘neutron Jack’ and ‘forced ranking Jack’, certainly looked after his GE shareholders very well for many years so how did he eventually come to the conclusion in a Financial Times interview in 2009 that

“On the face of it, shareholder value is the dumbest idea in the world”?

Was this really a Damascene conversion at the end of his career or just a very obvious and natural conclusion that anyone as logical and business focused as Jack was bound to reach at some point?  Of course pursuing shareholder value, to the exclusion of everyone else’s value and values*, is a dumb-ass idea.  Why the hell would rational employees want to give their all to shareholders?  What is in it for them?  How many of us jump out of bed every morning fired up by shareholders’ selfish interests?

There is no doubting that Jack Welch has to be regarded as one of the most talented managers of the 20th Century but what of his legacy?  His views are expressed in a 2010 You Tube interview (9 years after he left GE) along with those of his successor, and current Chairman of the Board, Jeff Immelt.  Does their reasoning convince us that Welch and Immelt have revolutionised management thinking from a human capital perspective?  Welch’s management methods became standard fare on most MBA classes so students should be asked what lessons can be drawn for the future?  To what extent was GE’s business strategy (and therefore its HR strategy) focused just on narrow shareholder interests?  Have Jack Welch and Jeff Immelt really unearthed any new management secrets (apparently not if we read the comments posted on the You Tube clip)?  If Jack Welch were to run GE again today how would he do it any differently?  He is further quoted by the FT as realising that

“Shareholder value is a result, not a strategy …. Your main constituencies are your employees, your customers and your products.”

So would he convince today’s shareholders that a different HR strategy would actually result in even better returns?  Would this necessitate a GE strategy that treats its people as both employees and citizens, thereby truly reflecting the society it serves?   After all, what form of capitalism can ultimately prevail that does not satisfy society at large?  Society can only be expected to wholeheartedly support organisations that have society’s best interests at heart.  This is surely the only virtuous circle that can possibly be fashioned from the one-cornered square currently occupied by those shareholders with a narrow field of vision?

The greatest lesson that may yet arise from the present malaise is the realisation that many of our erstwhile ‘leaders’ actually have no idea how to help produce a more enlightened form of capitalism; one that can continue to compete successfully against any variant on the horizon. Perhaps that is Leadership Secret number 30 that will eventually rise to the surface on MBA and leadership programmes?

*See also ‘The Value Motive. The only alternative to the profit motive.’

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Where can I get my next EI fix?

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A week ago an email landed in my spam filter from a company called TalentSmart (based in San Diego, USA) advertising “Working with an emotional intelligence mentor”.  What a very seductive concept emotional intelligence has always been since it hit the headlines over a decade ago. It felt like emotionally intelligent executives were suddenly being described as ‘attractive and intelligent’ or ‘good in bed and a great conversationalist’ – the perfect combination. So who wouldn’t want an emotional intelligence mentor?

Normally this sort of unsolicited email would not get past my own bullshit detector but being evidence-based does not automatically make me resistant to new ideas, mean-spirited, mechanistic, obsessed with measurement or devoid of human sensibilities. So I read further and found that TalentSmart offer (apparently): -

“Everything you need to develop an emotionally intelligent workforce. From books, to selection tools, to the leading emotional intelligence assessment.”

If that is “everything” I am not sure where it leaves one’s existing personality, parental influence, genes and a host of other factors that probably have a part to play in the way someone behaves in the workplace – but let us not worry ourselves unduly about such minor details.  Also, let us not open up the eternal debate again about nature versus nurture, or whether emotional intelligence is a skill, competence, attribute or whatever.  Instead let’s just get to the logic and evidence on offer.  Here is one snippet from their “Business Case for Emotional Intelligence (EQ) 2009 Update” – which, incidentally, invokes a quote from Jack Welch in support of emotional intelligence – yes, that Jack Welch – the one who developed that emotionally intelligent system called forced ranking.

“Fortune Brands saw 100% of leaders who developed their EQ skills through classroom training, coaching, and online learning exceed the performance targets set for them in the company’s metric-based performance management system. Just 28% of leaders who failed to develop their EQ skills exceeded their performance targets. (Bradberry*, 2005).”

As with all statistics, we need to check what we are reading first. There are only 4 possible outcomes from this exercise. Some of the participants could have: -

a. developed their EQ skills and exceeded targets (i.e. the 100% referred to)

b. developed their EQ skills and not exceeded their targets (must be 0% if a. is true)

c. failed to develop their EQ skills and exceeded targets (the 28% referred to)

d. failed to develop their EQ skills and did not exceed targets (no mention of this group)

The only data we are actually given though is percentages, not actual numbers of participants. So, let us assume that for every 100 ‘leaders’ who participated, the actual numbers in each category were as follows (with the relative percentages in parentheses) -

a. 1 (1% of the total but 100% of those who developed skills and exceeded targets)

b. 0 (0% of the total)

c. 28 (28% of the total but also approximately 28% of the group who did not develop EQ skills)

d. 71 (71% of the total)

On this basis TalentSmart’s EQ approach would have a success rate of just 1% and yet would still be able to justify their claims on a purely statistical basis.  We don’t know if this was the split of course but you could play around with any other combination that achieves the same relative percentages (e.g. 20/0/23/57 – but b. will always be zero).

Regardless of the questionable statistics though, what the evidence-based manager would really take issue with is the methodology itself – the focus here is on the process of ‘developing EQ skills’ and not on any evidence of the likely causes of under or over performance. The ‘solution serum’ has been pre-prepared and injected into everyone before any evidence is offered. Of course, this approach is supported by Daniel Goleman’s** article in Harvard Business Review (March 2000) entitled ‘Leadership that gets results’ because HBR informs us that

“drawing on research of more than 3,000 executives, Goleman explores which precise leadership behaviors yield positive results. He outlines six distinct leadership styles, each one springing from different components of emotional intelligence.”

The evidence-based manager does not have to challenge this assertion so much as ask the simple question – is this just correlation masquerading as causation again? Where is the evidence that attempting to develop emotional intelligence actually gets results (and doesn’t have any side effects)?  Those who are offering EI or EQ have to do better than this.

*Bradberry is a partner at TalentSmart

** Daniel Goleman has been appointed as an adviser to the UK’s NHS Leadership Council

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